Risk and Route Indices

Six proprietary indices that trace a single line from the water to the till. They measure both halves of the journey: the pressure building at the shipping chokepoints and the pressure landing in the household budget. Each is a transparent weighted composite, recomputed every six hours, and the live gauges below carry the current reading rather than any fixed narrative.

Severity bands Low 0–34 Moderate 35–49 Elevated 50–64 High 65–79 Critical 80–100

Primary Indices

The top-line view: aggregate route disruption, household fuel exposure, and what it all costs at checkout.

Route Disruption Index (RDI)
Aggregate shipping delay pressure across Hormuz, Panama, and Suez. Scale: 0-100.
Elevated
50.0
Collecting data...
Updated: Awaiting data
Household Fuel Risk Index (HFRI)
Consumer fuel price exposure from tanker disruptions and crude benchmarks. Scale: 0-100.
Elevated
50.0
Collecting data...
Updated: Awaiting data
Checkout Index
Combined grocery and fuel pressure landing in the weekly household bill. Scale: 0-100.
Elevated
50.0
Collecting data...
Updated: Awaiting data

Chokepoint Severity Scores

Per-corridor risk for the three maritime chokepoints that move the most US-bound trade.

Suez Canal
Traffic, freight rerouting, dry-bulk rates, and news severity.
Elevated
50.0
Collecting data...
Updated: Awaiting data
Panama Canal
Transit capacity, drought and rainfall, vessel throughput, queue pressure.
Elevated
50.0
Collecting data...
Updated: Awaiting data
Strait of Hormuz
Oil transit risk, crude price level and volatility, military and news activity.
Elevated
50.0
Collecting data...
Updated: Awaiting data

How These Indices Are Built

Each index is a weighted composite of real-time data: vessel traffic anomalies, commodity price movements, GDELT news severity scores, and economic indicators. Weights are documented publicly. The formulas are transparent. The data integration and daily computation is the barrier to replication.

Full methodology and index formulas →